Growth projections for Aark are divided into low leverage(~10x), mid leverage(10~150x), and high leverage(150-1000x) trading volumes. For detailed monthly projection figures by category, please visit the link below:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1wgKnbWyE5PZD21c9_zzpZiUirbOtjEIDDCpNXqNUolY/edit#gid=0

Aark Growth Projections: 2024-26

Volume by Leverage

Current Status: Low leverage(~10x) vs mid leverage(10~150x) account for 20% vs 80% of total volume. Projection: High leverage(150~1000x) to account for 45%, 63% and 54% by end of ’24, ’25 and ’26, respectively, or $160mln, $830mln and $1.6bln daily volume just from high leverage trades.

Current Status: Low leverage(~10x) vs mid leverage(10~150x) account for 20% vs 80% of total volume. Projection: High leverage(150~1000x) to account for 45%, 63% and 54% by end of ’24, ’25 and ’26, respectively, or $160mln, $830mln and $1.6bln daily volume just from high leverage trades.

Volume Share by Leverage

Projection: High leverage share to increase rapidly after debut in 2024. Growth of high leverage to continue until low/mid leverage begin to rise in ’26 as algorithmic and institutional traders increase.

Projection: High leverage share to increase rapidly after debut in 2024. Growth of high leverage to continue until low/mid leverage begin to rise in ’26 as algorithmic and institutional traders increase.

Market Share

Projection: Volume market share to increase rapidly in early stage due to rising demand for high leverage. Increased exposure to support long term credibility of Aark, reaching market share of 20% by 2026. Total market size estimated to grow a mild 13% in ‘24 as Perp 1.0 struggles, 225% in ‘25 as market finds a fit with high leverage trading, and 80% in the ‘26 as the trend continues. This results in a 5x market size by the end of ’26.

Projection: Volume market share to increase rapidly in early stage due to rising demand for high leverage. Increased exposure to support long term credibility of Aark, reaching market share of 20% by 2026. Total market size estimated to grow a mild 13% in ‘24 as Perp 1.0 struggles, 225% in ‘25 as market finds a fit with high leverage trading, and 80% in the ‘26 as the trend continues. This results in a 5x market size by the end of ’26.

Annualized Fees

Projection: Annualized fees to increase to $340mln by the end of ’26. Fee-sharing tokenomics to contribute to growth of token value. FDV to reach $1bln by end of next year, calculated by a 365-days trailing ‘FDV/Revenue’ valuation multiple 16x derived from GMX.

Projection: Annualized fees to increase to $340mln by the end of ’26. Fee-sharing tokenomics to contribute to growth of token value. FDV to reach $1bln by end of next year, calculated by a 365-days trailing ‘FDV/Revenue’ valuation multiple 16x derived from GMX.